PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Ukraine - Druha Liga
Final score Metalurh Zaporizhya 1, SC Poltava 2 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Metalurh Zaporizhya win 39%, Draw 28%, SC Poltava 2 win 33%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchMetalurh Zaporizhya host SC Poltava 2 in the Druha Liga, Ukraine.
Our model gives Metalurh Zaporizhya a 39% chance of winning, a draw 28% and SC Poltava 2 33%.
The model expects Metalurh Zaporizhya to score 1.4 goals and SC Poltava 2 1.2.
Metalurh Zaporizhya have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; SC Poltava 2 have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 9 Oct, 00:25 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Druha Liga, before kick-off.
Metalurh Zaporizhya sit 8th with 6 points; SC Poltava 2 sit 4th with 11. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of SC Poltava 2; Metalurh Zaporizhya have played 1 fewer.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Insufficient historical data: fewer than 3 meetings.
Record shown: August 2026.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Metalurh Zaporizhya at home and SC Poltava 2 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Metalurh Zaporizhya | SC Poltava 2 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 4th |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 8) | 0.90 | 0.63 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 8) | 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 20 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Lozova | 8 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 | 0.70 | 3 | 4 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (9) | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 5 | 0.56 | 2 | 4 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | 2 | 4 |
| Last 10 (8) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 | 1.38 | 4 | 5 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
SC Poltava 2 away: Insufficient historical data: 3 matches.
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 13 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Atlet | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Oleksandria II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 7 | Trostianets | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Penuel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |