PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Switzerland - Challenge League
Final score Neuchatel Xamax FC 3, FC Winterthur 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Neuchatel Xamax FC win 45%, Draw 26%, FC Winterthur win 30%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchNeuchatel Xamax FC host FC Winterthur in the Challenge League, Switzerland.
Our model gives Neuchatel Xamax FC a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and FC Winterthur 30%.
The model expects Neuchatel Xamax FC to score 1.6 goals and FC Winterthur 1.3.
Neuchatel Xamax FC have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; FC Winterthur have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Challenge League, before kick-off.
Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 6th with 12 points; FC Winterthur sit 2nd with 18. A gap of 16 in goal difference, in favour of FC Winterthur.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Neuchatel Xamax FC at home and FC Winterthur away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Neuchatel Xamax FC | FC Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 | 2.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 14 | 2.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
Neuchatel Xamax FC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
FC Winterthur away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 2 |