PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Final score Neudrossenfeld 4, ASV Neumarkt 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Neudrossenfeld win 33%, Draw 25%, ASV Neumarkt win 42%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchNeudrossenfeld host ASV Neumarkt in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, Germany.
Our model gives Neudrossenfeld a 33% chance of winning, a draw 25% and ASV Neumarkt 42%.
The model expects Neudrossenfeld to score 1.4 goals and ASV Neumarkt 1.6.
Neudrossenfeld have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; ASV Neumarkt have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, before kick-off.
Neudrossenfeld sit 11th with 16 points; ASV Neumarkt sit 18th with 6. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Neudrossenfeld.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Neudrossenfeld at home and ASV Neumarkt away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Neudrossenfeld | ASV Neumarkt |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 18th |
| Points per game | 1.23 | 0.46 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 10 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Ammerthal | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 14 |
| 17 | Nordlingen | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 10 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 34 |
| 2 | Würzburger FV | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 3 | Gebenbach | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Eintracht Bamberg | 13 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 0.67 | 1 | 4 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
Neudrossenfeld at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
ASV Neumarkt away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +11 |
| 24 |
| 5 | Jahn Regensburg II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 22 |
| 6 | Fortuna Regensburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 7 | Kornburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Bayern Hof | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 9 | Stadeln | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Ammerthal | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Weiden | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Großbardorf | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | Nordlingen | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 10 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |