PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· England - Premier League Cup
Final score Newcastle United U21 4, Luton Town U21 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Newcastle United U21 win 49%, Draw 22%, Luton Town U21 win 28%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchNewcastle United U21 host Luton Town U21 in the Premier League Cup, England.
Our model gives Newcastle United U21 a 49% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Luton Town U21 28%.
The model expects Newcastle United U21 to score 2.0 goals and Luton Town U21 1.5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Newcastle United U21 at home and Luton Town U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS |
|---|
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| Last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Home, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Home, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
Newcastle United U21 at home: Data unavailable.
Luton Town U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.