PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Northern Ireland - Championship
Final score Newry City AFC 3, Dundela 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Newry City AFC win 39%, Draw 23%, Dundela win 38%.
Newry City AFC host Dundela in the Championship, Northern Ireland.
Our model gives Newry City AFC a 39% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Dundela 38%.
The model expects Newry City AFC to score 1.8 goals and Dundela 1.8.
Newry City AFC have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Dundela have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Championship, before kick-off.
Newry City AFC sit 7th with 15 points; Dundela sit 12th with 11. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | H&W Welders | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Ards | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Dundela | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Newry City AFC at home and Dundela away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Newry City AFC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dundela away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Newry City AFC | Dundela |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 19 |
| 5 | Institute | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | H&W Welders | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Loughgall | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Ards | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Dundela | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 10 |
| +1 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|