PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Estonia - Esiliiga A
Final score Nõmme United II 0, FCI Levadia II 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Nõmme United II win 27%, Draw 21%, FCI Levadia II win 52%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchNõmme United II host FCI Levadia II in the Esiliiga A, Estonia.
Our model gives Nõmme United II a 27% chance of winning, a draw 21% and FCI Levadia II 52%.
The model expects Nõmme United II to score 1.6 goals and FCI Levadia II 2.1.
Nõmme United II have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; FCI Levadia II have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Esiliiga A, before kick-off.
Nõmme United II sit 8th with 36 points; FCI Levadia II sit 5th with 41. A gap of 17 in goal difference, in favour of FCI Levadia II; Nõmme United II have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Nõmme United II at home and FCI Levadia II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Nõmme United II | FCI Levadia II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 5th |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Elva | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 41 |
| 6 | Maardu | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 41 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 29 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +42 | 62 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 50 |
| 3 | Flora II | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 41 |
| 6 | Maardu | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 41 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 10 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
Nõmme United II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
FCI Levadia II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| 7 |
| Tallinna Kalev |
| 29 |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| -3 |
| 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 29 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | -41 | 22 |