PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· World - World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Final score Northern Ireland W 0, Portugal W 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Northern Ireland W win 40%, Draw 24%, Portugal W win 36%.
Northern Ireland W host Portugal W in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe, World.
Our model gives Northern Ireland W a 40% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Portugal W 36%.
The model expects Northern Ireland W to score 1.6 goals and Portugal W 1.6.
Northern Ireland W have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Portugal W have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Northern Ireland W at home and Portugal W away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Northern Ireland W at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Portugal W away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Northern Ireland W | Portugal W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points per game | – | – |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
Data unavailable: no fixture analysis is stored for this match (it is built from API-Football data from 7 October 2026).
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 15 |
| 4 |
| +11 |
| 12 |
| 2.40 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | 4 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|