PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Moldova - Liga 1
Final score Oguzsport 2, FC Stăuceni 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Oguzsport win 28%, Draw 26%, FC Stăuceni win 46%.
Oguzsport host FC Stăuceni in the Liga 1, Moldova.
Our model gives Oguzsport a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and FC Stăuceni 46%.
The model expects Oguzsport to score 1.2 goals and FC Stăuceni 1.6.
Oguzsport have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; FC Stăuceni have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga 1, before kick-off.
Oguzsport sit 4th with 14 points; FC Stăuceni sit 5th with 10. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Oguzsport; Oguzsport have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Oguzsport | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Stăuceni | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Univer Comrat | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Oguzsport at home and FC Stăuceni away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 | 1.83 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Oguzsport at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
FC Stăuceni away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Oguzsport | FC Stăuceni |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vulturii Cutezători | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Iskra | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 18 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Oguzsport | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Stăuceni | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Univer Comrat | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | FC National Ialoveni | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Făleşti | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Victoria Bardar | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Zimbru II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Spartanii Selemet | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 9 |
| 6 |
| +3 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|