PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga III - Serie 5
Final score Oxigen Bucuresti 2, Cetatea 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Oxigen Bucuresti win 14%, Draw 20%, Cetatea win 66%.
Oxigen Bucuresti host Cetatea in the Liga III - Serie 5, Romania.
Our model gives Oxigen Bucuresti a 14% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Cetatea 66%.
The model expects Oxigen Bucuresti to score 1.1 goals and Cetatea 2.3.
Oxigen Bucuresti have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Cetatea have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 5, before kick-off.
Oxigen Bucuresti sit 9th with 7 points; Cetatea sit 6th with 9. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Cetatea.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 9 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | – | – | – | – | – |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Oxigen Bucuresti at home and Cetatea away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Oxigen Bucuresti at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Cetatea away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Oxigen Bucuresti | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 3.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 0 |
| 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 9 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 3 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 10 |
| 9 |
| +1 |
| 6 |
| 1.20 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|