Paradou AC vs JSM Skikda prediction, Friday 9 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Algeria - Ligue 2
Paradou AC v JSM SkikdaHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Paradou AC win 53%, Draw 26%, JSM Skikda win 20%.
Paradou AC host JSM Skikda in the Ligue 2, Algeria.
Our model gives Paradou AC a 53% chance of winning, a draw 26% and JSM Skikda 20%.
The model expects Paradou AC to score 1.6 goals and JSM Skikda 1.0.
Paradou AC have won 1 of their last 3 league matches; JSM Skikda have won 2 of 3.
Top factors
- Paradou AC sit 15th with 4 points; JSM Skikda sit 6th with 6 points.
- Paradou AC have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches; JSM Skikda 6 from 3.
- At home, Paradou AC have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, JSM Skikda have taken 0 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Paradou AC win
- 53% · price 1.80
Yesterday's picks
Friday 9 October
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PEIPSV EindhovenHEEHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
LENLensLYOLyon21
· France - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
WHAWest HamQPRQPR11
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
BRASC BragaSCPSporting CP13
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchJSM Skikda win20% · price 4.25 Over 1.5 goals74% · price 1.41 Over 2.5 goals50% · price 2.31 Both teams score52% · price 2.08 Expected goals (our model)Paradou AC 1.6, JSM Skikda 1.0 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 2, before kick-off.
Paradou AC sit 15th with 4 points; JSM Skikda sit 6th with 6. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of JSM Skikda.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 5th USM Annaba6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 6th JSM Skikda6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th NC Magra6 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 14th Mostaganem4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 15th Paradou AC4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 16th Nrb Beni Oulbene4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 5 | USM Annaba | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | JSM Skikda | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Paradou AC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st RC Kouba12 points from 4 games · goal difference +10
- 2nd Blida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd MC Saida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 4th Usm El Harrach7 points from 4 games · goal difference +1
- 5th USM Annaba6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 6th JSM Skikda6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th NC Magra6 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 8th Azazga5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th MO Constantine5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 10th MSP Batna5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Khroub5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat USM Annaba2 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away1–2
WWonv Teleghma26 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home2–1
DDrewat Khroub18 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away0–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Nrb Beni Oulbene3 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home1–0
LLostat Azazga27 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away0–1
WWonv IRB Nezla18 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home2–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Paradou AC at home and JSM Skikda away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Paradou AC
- Last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Paradou AC| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
JSM Skikda
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 1 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 1 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
JSM Skikda| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 |
|---|
Paradou AC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
JSM Skikda away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Paradou AC | JSM Skikda |
|---|
| League position | 15th | 6th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.00 | 0.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Usm El Harrach | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | USM Annaba | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | JSM Skikda | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Azazga | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | MO Constantine | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | MSP Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Khroub | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | MO Bejaia | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Paradou AC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Sidi Benali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | ASM Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hussein Dey | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | GC Mascara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | US Chaouia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 25 | JS Jijel | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Teleghma | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | CA Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | El Bayadh | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Tiaret | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 30 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Taghit | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|