PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
Final score Persepolis FC 3, Sanat Naft 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Persepolis FC win 65%, Draw 26%, Sanat Naft win 9%.
Persepolis FC host Sanat Naft in the Persian Gulf Pro League, Iran.
Our model gives Persepolis FC a 65% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sanat Naft 9%.
The model expects Persepolis FC to score 1.5 goals and Sanat Naft 0.5.
Persepolis FC have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Sanat Naft have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Persian Gulf Pro League, before kick-off.
Persepolis FC sit 3rd with 13 points; Sanat Naft sit 18th with 4. A gap of 15 in goal difference, in favour of Persepolis FC; Persepolis FC have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Persepolis FC at home and Sanat Naft away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 13 | 2.17 | 3 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Persepolis FC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sanat Naft away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Persepolis FC | Sanat Naft |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 18th |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 0.57 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 0.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Paykan | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Malavan | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | ZOB Ahan | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| -6 |
| 2 |
| 0.40 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 3 | 0.50 | 3 | 5 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 2 | 3 |
|---|