PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Angola - Girabola
Final score Petro de Luanda 0, Recreativo da Caála 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Petro de Luanda win 77%, Draw 18%, Recreativo da Caála win 5%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchPetro de Luanda host Recreativo da Caála in the Girabola, Angola.
Our model gives Petro de Luanda a 77% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Recreativo da Caála 5%.
The model expects Petro de Luanda to score 2.1 goals and Recreativo da Caála 0.5.
Petro de Luanda have won 3 of their last 4 league matches; Recreativo da Caála have won 1 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Girabola, before kick-off.
Petro de Luanda sit 4th with 10 points; Recreativo da Caála sit 12th with 4. A gap of 8 in goal difference, in favour of Petro de Luanda; Petro de Luanda have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Petro de Luanda at home and Recreativo da Caála away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Petro de Luanda | Recreativo da Caála |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 12th |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 0.80 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 4 and 5) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 4 and 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| P |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Bravos do Maquis FC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Petro de Luanda | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Interclube | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Kabuscorp | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Recreativo da Caála | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Luanda | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiliete | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | 1º de Agosto | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 3 | Bravos do Maquis FC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Petro de Luanda | 4 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 10 | 2.50 | 4 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 10 | 2.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
Petro de Luanda at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Recreativo da Caála away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +6 |
| 10 |
| 5 | Interclube | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Desportivo Huíla | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Sagrada Esperança | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Recreativo do Libolo | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | CD Lunda-Sul | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Kabuscorp | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Recreativo da Caála | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Luanda | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | São Salvador | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting de Cabinda | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Académica do Lobito | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 0 |