PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Brazil - Carioca - 2
Final score Petrópolis 1, Artsul 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Petrópolis win 38%, Draw 32%, Artsul win 30%.
Petrópolis host Artsul in the Carioca - 2, Brazil.
Our model gives Petrópolis a 38% chance of winning, a draw 32% and Artsul 30%.
The model expects Petrópolis to score 1.1 goals and Artsul 0.9.
Petrópolis have won 2 of their last 5 league matches; Artsul have won 2 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Carioca - 2, before kick-off.
Petrópolis sit 4th with 9 points; Artsul sit 5th with 8. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Petrópolis.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Petrópolis at home and Artsul away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | 3 | 2 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Petrópolis at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Artsul away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Petrópolis | Artsul |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Goytacaz | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano RJ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 1 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 8 |
| 6 |
| +2 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|