PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Honduras - Liga Nacional
Final score Platense FC 2, Juticalpa 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Platense FC win 62%, Draw 22%, Juticalpa win 15%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchPlatense FC host Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional, Honduras.
Our model gives Platense FC a 62% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Juticalpa 15%.
The model expects Platense FC to score 2.0 goals and Juticalpa 1.0.
Platense FC have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Juticalpa have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Nacional, before kick-off.
Platense FC sit 12th with 5 points; Juticalpa sit 11th with 6. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Juticalpa.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Platense FC at home and Juticalpa away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Platense FC | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 11th |
| Points per game | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 10 | Atlético Choloma | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 6 |
| 12 | Platense FC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 17 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 8 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
Platense FC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Juticalpa away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +3 |
| 13 |
| 5 | Génesis | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Atletico Independiente | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Atlético Choloma | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 6 |
| 12 | Platense FC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |