PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Poland - I Liga
Final score Podbeskidzie 1, Pogoń Siedlce 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Podbeskidzie win 34%, Draw 30%, Pogoń Siedlce win 36%.
Podbeskidzie host Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga, Poland.
Our model gives Podbeskidzie a 34% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Pogoń Siedlce 36%.
The model expects Podbeskidzie to score 1.2 goals and Pogoń Siedlce 1.2.
Podbeskidzie have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Pogoń Siedlce have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the I Liga, before kick-off.
Podbeskidzie sit 17th with 8 points; Pogoń Siedlce sit 10th with 12. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Pogoń Siedlce; Podbeskidzie have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Podbeskidzie at home and Pogoń Siedlce away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Podbeskidzie at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Pogoń Siedlce away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Podbeskidzie | Pogoń Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 10th |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nieciecza | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszów | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| +3 |
| 10 |
| 2.00 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|