PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Germany - 3. Liga
Final score Preußen Münster 3, Rot-Weiß Essen 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Preußen Münster win 26%, Draw 21%, Rot-Weiß Essen win 53%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchPreußen Münster host Rot-Weiß Essen in the 3. Liga, Germany.
Our model gives Preußen Münster a 26% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Rot-Weiß Essen 53%.
The model expects Preußen Münster to score 1.6 goals and Rot-Weiß Essen 2.1.
Preußen Münster have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Rot-Weiß Essen have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 3. Liga, before kick-off.
Preußen Münster sit 8th with 11 points; Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd with 14. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Rot-Weiß Essen.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Preußen Münster at home and Rot-Weiß Essen away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Preußen Münster | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 3rd |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 | 2.20 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 14 | 2.33 | 3 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
Preußen Münster at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Rot-Weiß Essen away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | SV Wehen | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Havelse | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |