PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Qatar - Stars League
Final score Qatar SC 0, Al-Rayyan SC 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Qatar SC win 28%, Draw 23%, Al-Rayyan SC win 49%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchQatar SC host Al-Rayyan SC in the Stars League, Qatar.
Our model gives Qatar SC a 28% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Al-Rayyan SC 49%.
The model expects Qatar SC to score 1.5 goals and Al-Rayyan SC 1.9.
Qatar SC have won 0 of their last 4 league matches; Al-Rayyan SC have won 3 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Stars League, before kick-off.
Qatar SC sit 11th with 2 points; Al-Rayyan SC sit 2nd with 10. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Al-Rayyan SC.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Qatar SC at home and Al-Rayyan SC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Qatar SC | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 4 and 4) | 2.25 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 9 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Shamal | 5 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
Qatar SC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Al-Rayyan SC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| 0 |
| 8 |
| 5 | Al-Arabi SC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lusail City | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Wakrah | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 0 |