PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Poland - Ekstraklasa
Final score Raków Częstochowa 1, GKS Katowice 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Raków Częstochowa win 42%, Draw 25%, GKS Katowice win 34%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchRaków Częstochowa host GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa, Poland.
Our model gives Raków Częstochowa a 42% chance of winning, a draw 25% and GKS Katowice 34%.
The model expects Raków Częstochowa to score 1.6 goals and GKS Katowice 1.5.
Raków Częstochowa have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; GKS Katowice have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ekstraklasa, before kick-off.
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th with 3 points; GKS Katowice sit 9th with 12. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of GKS Katowice; Raków Częstochowa have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Raków Częstochowa at home and GKS Katowice away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 9th |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 2 |
Raków Częstochowa at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
GKS Katowice away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +5 |
| 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 3 |