PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Romania - Liga III - Serie 3
Final score Râmnicu Sărat 3, Plopeni 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Râmnicu Sărat win 43%, Draw 25%, Plopeni win 33%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchRâmnicu Sărat host Plopeni in the Liga III - Serie 3, Romania.
Our model gives Râmnicu Sărat a 43% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Plopeni 33%.
The model expects Râmnicu Sărat to score 1.7 goals and Plopeni 1.5.
Râmnicu Sărat have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Plopeni have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 3, before kick-off.
Râmnicu Sărat sit 11th with 5 points; Plopeni sit 7th with 10. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Plopeni.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Râmnicu Sărat at home and Plopeni away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Râmnicu Sărat | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Points per game | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | 0.83 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | 3 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 | 1.17 | 3 | 3 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
Râmnicu Sărat at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Plopeni away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |