PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Northern Ireland - Championship
Final score Rathfriland 2, Armagh City 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Rathfriland win 53%, Draw 24%, Armagh City win 22%.
Rathfriland host Armagh City in the Championship, Northern Ireland.
Our model gives Rathfriland a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Armagh City 22%.
The model expects Rathfriland to score 1.8 goals and Armagh City 1.2.
Rathfriland have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Armagh City have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Championship, before kick-off.
Rathfriland sit 15th with 6 points; Armagh City sit 16th with 5. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Armagh City.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Rathfriland at home and Armagh City away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Rathfriland at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Armagh City away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Rathfriland | Armagh City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 16th |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 19 |
| 5 | Institute | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | H&W Welders | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Loughgall | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Ards | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Dundela | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| -4 |
| 3 |
| 0.60 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 4 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | 2 | 3 |
|---|