PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Poland - II Liga - East
Final score Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Rekord Bielsko-Biała win 37%, Draw 28%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz win 35%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchRekord Bielsko-Biała host Sandecja Nowy Sącz in the II Liga - East, Poland.
Our model gives Rekord Bielsko-Biała a 37% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 35%.
The model expects Rekord Bielsko-Biała to score 1.3 goals and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.3.
Rekord Bielsko-Biała have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Sandecja Nowy Sącz have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the II Liga - East, before kick-off.
Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 6th with 16 points; Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 9th with 15. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Rekord Bielsko-Biała at home and Sandecja Nowy Sącz away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | Sandecja Nowy Sącz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| P |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hutnik Kraków | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 23 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 10 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
Rekord Bielsko-Biała at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +2 |
| 17 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hutnik Kraków | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 9 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 4 |