PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Belgium - Reserve Pro League
Final score RFC Seraing Reserve U21 3, Lierse K. U21 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win 64%, Draw 18%, Lierse K. U21 win 17%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchRFC Seraing Reserve U21 host Lierse K. U21 in the Reserve Pro League, Belgium.
Our model gives RFC Seraing Reserve U21 a 64% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Lierse K. U21 17%.
The model expects RFC Seraing Reserve U21 to score 2.6 goals and Lierse K. U21 1.5.
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 have won 2 of their last 3 league matches; Lierse K. U21 have won 0 of 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Reserve Pro League, before kick-off.
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 sit 6th with 6 points; Lierse K. U21 sit 10th with 1. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of RFC Seraing Reserve U21.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then RFC Seraing Reserve U21 at home and Lierse K. U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | Lierse K. U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| P |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | Westerlo U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | RFC de Liege U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Lierse K. U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waasland-Beveren U21 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Kortrijk U21 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 3 | RWDM U21 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 4 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Lierse K. U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| -2 |
| 7 |
| 5 | Westerlo U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Francs Borains U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | RFC de Liege U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Lierse K. U21 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 1 |