PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
Final score Roda 1, Jong PSV U21 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Roda win 50%, Draw 24%, Jong PSV U21 win 26%.
Roda host Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie, Netherlands.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur model gives Roda a 50% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Jong PSV U21 26%.
The model expects Roda to score 1.8 goals and Jong PSV U21 1.3.
Roda have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Jong PSV U21 have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Eerste Divisie, before kick-off.
Roda sit 6th with 15 points; Jong PSV U21 sit 12th with 12. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Roda.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Roda at home and Jong PSV U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Roda | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | MVV | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 3 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
Roda at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Jong PSV U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +1 |
| 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 7 |