PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Bolivia - Primera División
Final score San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0, Real Tomayapo 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 60%, Draw 23%, Real Tomayapo win 17%.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo host Real Tomayapo in the Primera División, Bolivia.
Our model gives San Antonio Bulo Bulo a 60% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Real Tomayapo 17%.
The model expects San Antonio Bulo Bulo to score 1.9 goals and Real Tomayapo 1.0.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Real Tomayapo have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División, before kick-off.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo sit 13th with 20 points; Real Tomayapo sit 15th with 16. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of San Antonio Bulo Bulo.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | ABB | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 18 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -24 | 16 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 14 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home and Real Tomayapo away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 4 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 4 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Real Tomayapo away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 15th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +34 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +32 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | ABB | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 18 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -24 | 16 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 14 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| -4 |
| 4 |
| 0.80 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 1.17 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|