PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Tajikistan - Vysshaya Liga
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Sardor Tursunzoda win 41%, Draw 24%, Eskhata win 34%.
Sardor Tursunzoda host Eskhata in the Vysshaya Liga, Tajikistan.
Our model gives Sardor Tursunzoda a 41% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Eskhata 34%.
The model expects Sardor Tursunzoda to score 1.7 goals and Eskhata 1.5.
Sardor Tursunzoda have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Eskhata have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Vysshaya Liga, before kick-off.
Sardor Tursunzoda sit 11th with 11 points; Eskhata sit 9th with 19. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Sardor Tursunzoda; Sardor Tursunzoda have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Khatlon | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 6 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sardor Tursunzoda at home and Eskhata away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Sardor Tursunzoda at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Eskhata away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sardor Tursunzoda | Eskhata |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 9th |
| Points per game | 0.69 | 1.12 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khosilot Farkhor | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 34 |
| 2 | Istiqlol | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 34 |
| 3 | Regar-TadAZ | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 34 |
| 4 | Khujand | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 24 |
| 5 | Barki Tajik | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 24 |
| 6 | CSKA Pomir | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 9 |
| -1 |
| 5 |
| 1.00 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|