PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga I
Final score Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0, Dinamo Bucuresti 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win 34%, Draw 30%, Dinamo Bucuresti win 37%.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Dinamo Bucuresti in the Liga I, Romania.
Our model gives Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 34% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Dinamo Bucuresti 37%.
The model expects Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to score 1.2 goals and Dinamo Bucuresti 1.2.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Dinamo Bucuresti have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga I, before kick-off.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 9th with 13 points; Dinamo Bucuresti sit 1st with 23. A gap of 19 in goal difference, in favour of Dinamo Bucuresti.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 23 |
| 2 | Rapid | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 21 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home and Dinamo Bucuresti away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dinamo Bucuresti away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Dinamo Bucuresti |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 1st |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 2.30 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 23 |
| 2 | Rapid | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 20 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | FCSB | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 12 |
| 4 |
| +8 |
| 13 |
| 2.60 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 16 | 2.67 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|