PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Brazil - Paulista - U20
Final score Sfera U20 2, Guarani U20 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Sfera U20 win 34%, Draw 28%, Guarani U20 win 38%.
Sfera U20 host Guarani U20 in the Paulista - U20, Brazil.
Our model gives Sfera U20 a 34% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Guarani U20 38%.
The model expects Sfera U20 to score 1.3 goals and Guarani U20 1.3.
Sfera U20 have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Guarani U20 have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchPartly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sfera U20 at home and Guarani U20 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Sfera U20 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Guarani U20 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sfera U20 | Guarani U20 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points per game | – | – |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 2.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Data unavailable: no fixture analysis is stored for this match (it is built from API-Football data from 7 October 2026).
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 15 |
| 4 |
| +11 |
| 13 |
| 2.60 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 14 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|