Back to today's picks
· Algeria - Ligue 2
Sidi Benali v Hussein DeyHomevAwayHomevAway
Final score Sidi Benali 3, Hussein Dey 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Sidi Benali win 27%, Draw 30%, Hussein Dey win 43%.
Sidi Benali host Hussein Dey in the Ligue 2, Algeria.
Our model gives Sidi Benali a 27% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Hussein Dey 43%.
The model expects Sidi Benali to score 1.0 goals and Hussein Dey 1.3.
Sidi Benali have won 1 of their last 3 league matches; Hussein Dey have won 1 of 3.
Top factors
- Sidi Benali sit 17th with 4 points; Hussein Dey sit 19th with 3 points.
- Sidi Benali have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches; Hussein Dey 3 from 3.
- At home, Sidi Benali have taken 4 points from their last 2; away, Hussein Dey have taken 0 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Sidi Benali 1.0, Hussein Dey 1.3 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 2, before kick-off.
Sidi Benali sit 17th with 4 points; Hussein Dey sit 19th with 3. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 16th Nrb Beni Oulbene4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 17th Sidi Benali4 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 18th ASM Oran3 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 19th Hussein Dey3 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 20th WA Tlemcen3 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Sidi Benali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | ASM Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hussein Dey | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st RC Kouba12 points from 4 games · goal difference +10
- 2nd Blida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd MC Saida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 4th Usm El Harrach7 points from 4 games · goal difference +1
- 5th USM Annaba6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 6th JSM Skikda6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th NC Magra6 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 8th Azazga5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th MO Constantine5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 10th MSP Batna5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Khroub5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Mostaganem3 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home2–2
LLostat Blida26 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away1–3
WWonv El Bayadh19 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home1–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv RC Kouba3 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home1–2
LLostat Mostaganem26 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away0–1
WWonv Taghit19 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home1–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sidi Benali at home and Hussein Dey away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sidi Benali
- Last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Sidi Benali| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Hussein Dey
- Last 5 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 1 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 1 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Hussein Dey| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 |
|---|
Sidi Benali at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Hussein Dey away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sidi Benali | Hussein Dey |
|---|
| League position | 17th | 19th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Sidi Benali
None reported.
Hussein Dey
None reported.
Yesterday's picks
Friday 9 October
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PEIPSV EindhovenHEEHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Usm El Harrach | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | USM Annaba | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | JSM Skikda | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Azazga | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | MO Constantine | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | MSP Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Khroub | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | MO Bejaia | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Paradou AC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Sidi Benali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | ASM Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hussein Dey | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | GC Mascara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | US Chaouia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 25 | JS Jijel | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Teleghma | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | CA Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | El Bayadh | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Tiaret | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 30 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Taghit | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
WHAWest HamQPRQPR11
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
BRASC BragaSCPSporting CP13
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match