PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Turkey - 1. Lig
Final score Sivasspor 4, Pendikspor 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Sivasspor win 38%, Draw 30%, Pendikspor win 32%.
Sivasspor host Pendikspor in the 1. Lig, Turkey.
Our model gives Sivasspor a 38% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Pendikspor 32%.
The model expects Sivasspor to score 1.2 goals and Pendikspor 1.1.
Sivasspor have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Pendikspor have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Lig, before kick-off.
Sivasspor sit 15th with 8 points; Pendikspor sit 12th with 10. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Sivasspor.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sivasspor at home and Pendikspor away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Sivasspor at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Pendikspor away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sivasspor | Pendikspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Sarıyer | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Muğlaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 1 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| -1 |
| 6 |
| 1.20 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|