PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Czech Republic - FNL
Final score Slavia Praha II 0, Vlašim 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Slavia Praha II win 49%, Draw 23%, Vlašim win 28%.
Slavia Praha II host Vlašim in the FNL, Czech Republic.
Our model gives Slavia Praha II a 49% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Vlašim 28%.
The model expects Slavia Praha II to score 1.9 goals and Vlašim 1.4.
Slavia Praha II have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Vlašim have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the FNL, before kick-off.
Slavia Praha II sit 6th with 13 points; Vlašim sit 8th with 12. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Slavia Praha II.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Slavia Praha II at home and Vlašim away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Slavia Praha II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Vlašim away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Slavia Praha II | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 8th |
| Points per game | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Kladno | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Opava | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Třinec | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 6 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 10 |
| 9 |
| +1 |
| 7 |
| 1.40 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|