PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· England - National League
Final score Sutton Utd 0, Boreham Wood 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Sutton Utd win 16%, Draw 20%, Boreham Wood win 65%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchSutton Utd host Boreham Wood in the National League, England.
Our model gives Sutton Utd a 16% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Boreham Wood 65%.
The model expects Sutton Utd to score 1.2 goals and Boreham Wood 2.3.
Sutton Utd have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Boreham Wood have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the National League, before kick-off.
Sutton Utd sit 11th with 18 points; Boreham Wood sit 1st with 32. A gap of 21 in goal difference, in favour of Boreham Wood.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Sutton Utd at home and Boreham Wood away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Sutton Utd | Boreham Wood |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 1st |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 2.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 25 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 18 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 15 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 16 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
Sutton Utd at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Boreham Wood away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +11 |
| 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -20 | 4 |