PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Austria - 2. Liga
Final score SV Kapfenberg 0, Austria Vienna (Am) 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: SV Kapfenberg win 35%, Draw 24%, Austria Vienna (Am) win 41%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchSV Kapfenberg host Austria Vienna (Am) in the 2. Liga, Austria.
Our model gives SV Kapfenberg a 35% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Austria Vienna (Am) 41%.
The model expects SV Kapfenberg to score 1.6 goals and Austria Vienna (Am) 1.7.
SV Kapfenberg have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Austria Vienna (Am) have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. Liga, before kick-off.
SV Kapfenberg sit 16th with 3 points; Austria Vienna (Am) sit 5th with 12. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Austria Vienna (Am).
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then SV Kapfenberg at home and Austria Vienna (Am) away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | SV Kapfenberg | Austria Vienna (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 5th |
| Points per game | 0.43 | 1.71 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 4 | SKU Amstetten | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | WSPG Wels | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 18 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Floridsdorfer AC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | SKU Amstetten | 7 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 12 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
SV Kapfenberg at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Austria Vienna (Am) away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +3 |
| 12 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Austria Salzburg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Liefering | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | SKN ST. Polten | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Admira Wacker | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Voitsberg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Rapid Wien II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | WSPG Wels | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |