PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Paraguay - Division Intermedia
Final score Tacuary 2, Paraguari AC 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Tacuary win 33%, Draw 28%, Paraguari AC win 39%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchTacuary host Paraguari AC in the Division Intermedia, Paraguay.
Our model gives Tacuary a 33% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Paraguari AC 39%.
The model expects Tacuary to score 1.3 goals and Paraguari AC 1.4.
Tacuary have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Paraguari AC have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Division Intermedia, before kick-off.
Tacuary sit 15th with 24 points; Paraguari AC sit 8th with 38. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Paraguari AC.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Tacuary at home and Paraguari AC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Tacuary | Paraguari AC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 8th |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 1.41 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 7 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlético Tembetary | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 36 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 22 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 50 |
| 4 | Benjamín Aceval | 27 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 | 2.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 15 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
Tacuary at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Paraguari AC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 42 |
| 5 | SOL DE America | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 41 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlético Tembetary | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando De La Mora | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 22 |