Since 9 Oct: 185 of 224 top picks won. Expected about 179.
Trial leagues (10 shown): 9 of 10 won
Expected about 8 from their win chances.
Since 9 Oct: 62 of 73 trial picks won. Expected about 59.
Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.
9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.
From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.
New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).
We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.
Tamworth v ScunthorpeTamworthHomeScunthorpeAway
Final score Tamworth 4, Scunthorpe 1.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.11
Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins
Each of Tamworth's last 6 home matches had two or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Tamworth win 42%, Draw 24%, Scunthorpe win 34%.
42%
Tamworth win
24%
Draw
34%
Scunthorpe win
Why this pick
Tamworth host Scunthorpe in the National League, England.
Our model gives an 81% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 83%.
The model expects Tamworth to score 1.7 goals and Scunthorpe 1.5.
5 of Tamworth's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Scunthorpe's last 6 did.
Top factors
At home, Tamworth have scored 1.4 goals a game and conceded 1.2 in their last 5 home matches.
Away, Scunthorpe have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Mon 26 Oct, 20:09 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Mon 26 Oct, 20:08 GMT. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.