PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Mexico - Liga MX U21
Final score Tigres UANL U21 1, Toluca U21 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Tigres UANL U21 win 39%, Draw 29%, Toluca U21 win 32%.
Tigres UANL U21 host Toluca U21 in the Liga MX U21, Mexico.
Our model gives Tigres UANL U21 a 39% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Toluca U21 32%.
The model expects Tigres UANL U21 to score 1.3 goals and Toluca U21 1.1.
Tigres UANL U21 have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Toluca U21 have won 6 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga MX U21, before kick-off.
Tigres UANL U21 sit 15th with 9 points; Toluca U21 sit 1st with 24. A gap of 18 in goal difference, in favour of Toluca U21.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 21 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Tigres UANL U21 at home and Toluca U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 5 |
Tigres UANL U21 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Toluca U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 1st |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 2.40 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Atlante U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Juarez U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 10 |
| 4 |
| +6 |
| 15 |
| 3.00 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 18 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|