PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Italy - Serie C - Girone A
Final score Union Brescia 2, PRO Vercelli 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Union Brescia win 65%, Draw 23%, PRO Vercelli win 12%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchUnion Brescia host PRO Vercelli in the Serie C - Girone A, Italy.
Our model gives Union Brescia a 65% chance of winning, a draw 23% and PRO Vercelli 12%.
The model expects Union Brescia to score 1.8 goals and PRO Vercelli 0.8.
Union Brescia have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; PRO Vercelli have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Serie C - Girone A, before kick-off.
Union Brescia sit 2nd with 16 points; PRO Vercelli sit 13th with 9. A gap of 11 in goal difference, in favour of Union Brescia.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Union Brescia at home and PRO Vercelli away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Union Brescia | PRO Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 13th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 12 | Lecco | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | PRO Vercelli | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Trento | 8 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | 3 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
Union Brescia at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
PRO Vercelli away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +6 |
| 14 |
| 5 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Albinoleffe | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecco | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | PRO Vercelli | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Athletic Carpi | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 3 |