PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchFriday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Final score Utiel 0, Levante II 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Utiel win 19%, Draw 29%, Levante II win 52%.
Utiel host Levante II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6, Spain.
Our model gives Utiel a 19% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Levante II 52%.
The model expects Utiel to score 0.8 goals and Levante II 1.4.
Utiel have won 0 of their last 5 league matches; Levante II have won 2 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6, before kick-off.
Utiel sit 17th with 3 points; Levante II sit 7th with 7. A gap of 6 in goal difference, in favour of Levante II; Utiel have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Eldense B | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Levante II | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Saguntino | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Atzeneta | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Utiel | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Torrellano | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Utiel at home and Levante II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 |
Utiel at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Levante II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Utiel | Levante II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 7th |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.75 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 4) | 0.80 | 1.25 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 4) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Vall de Uxó | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Torrent | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Roda | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Eldense B | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Levante II | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Saguntino | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Crevillente | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Acero | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ontinyent 1931 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | SC Torrevieja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Buñol | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Soneja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Atzeneta | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Utiel | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Torrellano | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| +3 |
| 7 |
| 1.75 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|