PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Turkey - 1. Lig
Final score Vanspor FK 0, Bandırmaspor 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Vanspor FK win 30%, Draw 32%, Bandırmaspor win 38%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchVanspor FK host Bandırmaspor in the 1. Lig, Turkey.
Our model gives Vanspor FK a 30% chance of winning, a draw 32% and Bandırmaspor 38%.
The model expects Vanspor FK to score 1.0 goals and Bandırmaspor 1.1.
Vanspor FK have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Bandırmaspor have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Lig, before kick-off.
Vanspor FK sit 17th with 6 points; Bandırmaspor sit 11th with 10. A gap of 16 in goal difference, in favour of Bandırmaspor.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Vanspor FK at home and Bandırmaspor away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Vanspor FK | Bandırmaspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 11th |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 10 | Muğlaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
Vanspor FK at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bandırmaspor away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +2 |
| 16 |
| 5 | Sarıyer | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Muğlaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 1 |