PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Final score Villarreal III 3, Buñol 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Villarreal III win 62%, Draw 24%, Buñol win 14%.
Villarreal III host Buñol in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6, Spain.
Our model gives Villarreal III a 62% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Buñol 14%.
The model expects Villarreal III to score 1.8 goals and Buñol 0.8.
Villarreal III have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Buñol have won 1 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6, before kick-off.
Villarreal III sit 1st with 12 points; Buñol sit 13th with 5. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Villarreal III.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Vall de Uxó | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 12 | SC Torrevieja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Buñol | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Villarreal III at home and Buñol away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 2.40 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 2.40 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Villarreal III at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Buñol away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Villarreal III | Buñol |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 13th |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Vall de Uxó | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Torrent | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Roda | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Eldense B | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Levante II | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Saguntino | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Crevillente | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Acero | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ontinyent 1931 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | SC Torrevieja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Buñol | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Soneja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Atzeneta | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Utiel | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Torrellano | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| -3 |
| 5 |
| 1.00 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 2 |
|---|