PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Poland - III Liga - Group 1
Final score Warta Sieradz 1, Wigry Suwałki 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Warta Sieradz win 41%, Draw 25%, Wigry Suwałki win 34%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchWarta Sieradz host Wigry Suwałki in the III Liga - Group 1, Poland.
Our model gives Warta Sieradz a 41% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Wigry Suwałki 34%.
The model expects Warta Sieradz to score 1.6 goals and Wigry Suwałki 1.5.
Warta Sieradz have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Wigry Suwałki have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the III Liga - Group 1, before kick-off.
Warta Sieradz sit 9th with 15 points; Wigry Suwałki sit 2nd with 22. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Wigry Suwałki; Warta Sieradz have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Warta Sieradz at home and Wigry Suwałki away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Warta Sieradz | Wigry Suwałki |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 26 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 26 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Swit | 11 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
Warta Sieradz at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Wigry Suwałki away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +8 |
| 20 |
| 5 | Pelikan Łowicz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrów | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 3 |