PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Final score Wilhelmshaven 3, BW Lohne 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Wilhelmshaven win 62%, Draw 22%, BW Lohne win 17%.
Wilhelmshaven host BW Lohne in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen, Germany.
Our model gives Wilhelmshaven a 62% chance of winning, a draw 22% and BW Lohne 17%.
The model expects Wilhelmshaven to score 2.1 goals and BW Lohne 1.1.
Wilhelmshaven have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; BW Lohne have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen, before kick-off.
Wilhelmshaven sit 4th with 17 points; BW Lohne sit 7th with 14. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Wilhelmshaven.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 17 |
| 4 | Wilhelmshaven | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 17 |
| 5 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | Spelle-Venhaus | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Nordhorn | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Wilhelmshaven at home and BW Lohne away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 8 | 1.60 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 11 | 1.83 | 3 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Wilhelmshaven at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
BW Lohne away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Wilhelmshaven | BW Lohne |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Points per game | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 2.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heeslinger SC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Hildesheim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 3 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 17 |
| 4 | Wilhelmshaven | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 17 |
| 5 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | Spelle-Venhaus | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Nordhorn | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 11 |
| 9 | Verden 04 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Bersenbrück | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Meppen II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Germania Egestorf | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Hemmingen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 7 |
| 14 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vorsfelde | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Drochtersen/Assel II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 3 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 7 |
| +4 |
| 10 |
| 2.00 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|