PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Iraq - Iraqi League
Final score Zakho 0, Newroz 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Zakho win 43%, Draw 31%, Newroz win 26%.
Zakho host Newroz in the Iraqi League, Iraq.
Our model gives Zakho a 43% chance of winning, a draw 31% and Newroz 26%.
The model expects Zakho to score 1.2 goals and Newroz 0.9.
Zakho have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Newroz have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Iraqi League, before kick-off.
Zakho sit 13th with 9 points; Newroz sit 6th with 12. A gap of 9 in goal difference, in favour of Newroz.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Naft | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Newroz | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Zakho | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Zakho at home and Newroz away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Zakho at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Newroz away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Zakho | Newroz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 0.17 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | Naft | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Newroz | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Talaba | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Diyala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Zakho | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Maysan | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Mosul | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| +7 |
| 11 |
| 2.20 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | 5 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | 3 | 2 |
|---|