Friday 16 October
4 of 5 top picks won
Expected about 4 from their win chances.
Since 9 Oct: 80 of 97 top picks won. Expected about 77.
Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.
9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.
From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.
Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11
Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins
11' Vente (pen), 54' Braude, 84' Oyen, 88' Trenskow
· Eredivisie, Netherlands
See the matchOur public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.
Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
Lost
86%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price then 1.08
Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins
77' Ebnoutalib
· Bundesliga, Germany
See the matchOver 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.21
46' Russell-Rowe, 59' Dønnum, 87' Tengstedt
· Ligue 1, France
See the matchOver 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13
Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins
9' Calò, 15' Berardi, 26' Raimondo, 30' Raimondo, 37' Thorstvedt, 57' Raimondo
· Serie A, Italy
See the matchOver 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price then 1.24
20' Vardy, 39' López, 72' Chirewa
· Championship, England
See the match