Since 9 Oct: 151 of 180 top picks won. Expected about 144.
Trial leagues (10 shown): 9 of 10 won
Expected about 8 from their win chances.
Since 9 Oct: 36 of 42 trial picks won. Expected about 34.
Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.
9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.
From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.
Ipswich v Nottingham ForestIpswichHomeNottingham ForestAway
Final score Ipswich 1, Nottingham Forest 1.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.22
Each of Ipswich's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Ipswich win 35%, Draw 25%, Nottingham Forest win 40%.
35%
Ipswich win
25%
Draw
40%
Nottingham Forest win
Why this pick
Ipswich host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, England.
Our model gives a 78% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 77%.
The model expects Ipswich to score 1.4 goals and Nottingham Forest 1.5.
5 of Ipswich's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 did.
Top factors
At home, Ipswich have scored 1.8 goals a game and conceded 1.8 in their last 5 home matches.
Away, Nottingham Forest have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Thu 22 Oct, 20:18 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 22 Oct, 20:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.