Since 9 Oct: 151 of 180 top picks won. Expected about 144.
Trial leagues (10 shown): 9 of 10 won
Expected about 8 from their win chances.
Since 9 Oct: 36 of 42 trial picks won. Expected about 34.
Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.
9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.
From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.
VfB Stuttgart v Borussia MönchengladbachVfB StuttgartHomeBorussia MönchengladbachAway
Final score VfB Stuttgart 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06
Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins
Each of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: VfB Stuttgart win 70%, Draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 14%.
70%
VfB Stuttgart win
16%
Draw
14%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
Why this pick
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, Germany.
Our model gives an 84% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 88%.
The model expects VfB Stuttgart to score 2.6 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.0.
4 of VfB Stuttgart's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 6 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 6 did.
Top factors
At home, VfB Stuttgart have scored 2.4 goals a game and conceded 0.6 in their last 5 home matches.
Away, Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 2.2 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Thu 22 Oct, 20:18 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 22 Oct, 20:16 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.