Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the match· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
Final score Cruzeiro U17 2, Fluminense U17 0.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
Each of Cruzeiro U17's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.
Chances of each result: Cruzeiro U17 win 51%, Draw 26%, Fluminense U17 win 23%.
Cruzeiro U17 host Fluminense U17 in the Brasileiro U17, Brazil.
Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
The model expects Cruzeiro U17 to score 1.6 goals and Fluminense U17 1.1.
6 of Cruzeiro U17's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 4 of Fluminense U17's last 6 did.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Wed 7 Oct, 15:26 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Brasileiro U17, before kick-off.
Cruzeiro U17 sit 5th with 37 points; Fluminense U17 sit 4th with 37. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Fluminense U17.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RB Bragantino U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +29 | 39 |
| 4 | Fluminense U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 37 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 37 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 33 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Cruzeiro U17 at home and Fluminense U17 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 | 2.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Cruzeiro U17 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Fluminense U17 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Cruzeiro U17 | Fluminense U17 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +30 | 44 |
| 2 | Corinthians U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +38 | 39 |
| 3 | RB Bragantino U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +29 | 39 |
| 4 | Fluminense U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 37 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 37 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 33 |
| 7 | Fortaleza U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Atlético Mineiro U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 32 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 30 |
| 10 | Santos U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 30 |
| 11 | Athletico PR U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 29 |
| 12 | Botafogo U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Vasco U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 23 |
| 14 | Internacional U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | America MG U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 16 | Bahia U17 | 18 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Juventude U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -31 | 16 |
| 18 | Vitoria U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -27 | 10 |
| 19 | Gremio U17 | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -37 | 10 |
| 20 | Atletico GO U17 | 18 | – | – | – | – | – | -54 | 3 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| +2 |
| 7 |
| 1.40 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|