Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the match· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
Final score Gosport Borough 1, Poole Town 3.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
Each of Gosport Borough's last 4 home matches had two or more goals.
Chances of each result: Gosport Borough win 37%, Draw 24%, Poole Town win 40%.
Gosport Borough host Poole Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South, England.
Our model gives an 80% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 76%.
The model expects Gosport Borough to score 1.5 goals and Poole Town 1.6.
5 of Gosport Borough's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Poole Town's last 6 did.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Wed 7 Oct, 15:26 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Wed 7 Oct, 00:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
These chances include head-to-head context at 10% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Gosport Borough 36% to win.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Non League Premier - Southern South, before kick-off.
Gosport Borough sit 13th with 12 points; Poole Town sit 4th with 18. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Poole Town.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Record shown: September 2019 to March 2026.
Average goals 2.5 (Gosport Borough 1.1, Poole Town 1.4). Draws 14%, both teams scored 50%, over 2.5 goals 43%.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Gosport Borough at home and Poole Town away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 15 | 1.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (10) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | 1.10 | 1 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Gosport Borough | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 12 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 20 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 9 |
| 4 |
| +5 |
| 12 |
| 2.40 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 18 | 1.80 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (10) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 18 | 1.80 | 2 | 1 |
|---|