Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the match· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
Final score EC Novo Horizonte 0, Real 9.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
Each of Real's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Chances of each result: EC Novo Horizonte win 40%, Draw 27%, Real win 33%.
EC Novo Horizonte host Real in the Gaúcho - 3, Brazil.
Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
The model expects EC Novo Horizonte to score 1.5 goals and Real 1.3.
3 of EC Novo Horizonte's last 3 league matches had two or more goals; 4 of Real's last 4 did.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Wed 7 Oct, 15:26 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Gaúcho - 3, before kick-off.
EC Novo Horizonte sit 9th with 3 points; Real sit 2nd with 10. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Real; EC Novo Horizonte have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panambi | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Real | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 10 |
| 3 | Futebol Com Vida | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | EC Novo Horizonte | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then EC Novo Horizonte at home and Real away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 3 |
EC Novo Horizonte at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Real away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | EC Novo Horizonte | Real |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 4) | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 4) | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Panambi | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Real | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 10 |
| 3 | Futebol Com Vida | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Cruz A. | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | São Paulo RS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Farroupilha | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 7 | FBC Riograndense RS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | EC Novo Horizonte | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| +10 |
| 10 |
| 2.50 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 10 | 2.50 | 3 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|