Freienbach v Eschen / MaurenFreienbachHomevEschen / MaurenAwayFreienbachHomevEschen / MaurenAway
Final score Freienbach 0, Eschen / Mauren 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Freienbach win 64%, Draw 20%, Eschen / Mauren win 16%.
64%
Freienbach win
20%
Draw
16%
Eschen / Mauren win
What the data says
Freienbach host Eschen / Mauren in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, Switzerland.
Our model gives Freienbach a 64% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Eschen / Mauren 16%.
The model expects Freienbach to score 2.2 goals and Eschen / Mauren 1.1.
Freienbach have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Eschen / Mauren have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
Freienbach sit 11th with 9 points; Eschen / Mauren sit 14th with 7 points.
Freienbach have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Eschen / Mauren 4 from 5.
At home, Freienbach have taken 8 points from their last 5; away, Eschen / Mauren have taken 3 from their last 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Wed 7 Oct, 00:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Freienbach win
64%
Draw
20%
Eschen / Mauren win
16%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams score
57%
Expected goals (our model)
Freienbach 2.2, Eschen / Mauren 1.1
These chances include head-to-head context at 9% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Freienbach 66% to win.
Key factors
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Freienbach sit 11th with 9 points; Eschen / Mauren sit 14th with 7 points.
Freienbach have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Eschen / Mauren 4 from 5.
At home, Freienbach have taken 8 points from their last 5; away, Eschen / Mauren have taken 3 from their last 5.
Head-to-head context: in their last 10 meetings Freienbach won 4, Eschen / Mauren won 4 and 2 were drawn.
Freienbach have had 10 days since their last match; Eschen / Mauren 18.
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, before kick-off.
Freienbach sit 11th with 9 points; Eschen / Mauren sit 14th with 7. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Freienbach; Freienbach have played 1 more.
10thWinterthur II9 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
11thFreienbach9 points from 8 games · goal difference -3
12thMendrisio8 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
13thLocarno7 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
14thEschen / Mauren7 points from 7 games · goal difference -7
15thWettswil-Bonstetten6 points from 9 games · goal difference -6
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
10
Winterthur II
8
3
0
5
10
11
-1
9
11
Freienbach
8
2
3
3
11
14
-3
9
12
Mendrisio
9
1
5
3
11
13
-2
8
13
Locarno
9
1
4
4
11
13
-2
7
14
Eschen / Mauren
7
2
1
4
8
15
-7
7
15
Wettswil-Bonstetten
9
1
3
5
9
15
Show full tableShow less
1stTuggen20 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
2ndSt. Gallen II19 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
3rdTaverne17 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
4thThalwil16 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
5thBaden16 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
6thCollina d'Oro14 points from 9 games · goal difference -1
7thKosova13 points from 8 games · goal difference +3
8thDietikon11 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
9thGossau11 points from 9 games · goal difference -5
10thWinterthur II9 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
11thFreienbach9 points from 8 games · goal difference -3
Freienbach: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
WWonat Widnau27 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–0
LLostat Winterthur II19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away2–3
WWonv Collina d'Oro12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home3–1
LLostat Mendrisio6 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–2
DDrewv Kosova29 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home3–3
Show last 10 matchesShowing 10
LLostat Thalwil23 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–3
DDrewv Baden14 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home2–2
DDrewat Gossau9 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–0
LLostv Rapperswil24 Jun 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home1–3
WWonat SV Schaffhausen30 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away3–1
Eschen / Mauren: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
LLostat Collina d'Oro19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–1
WWonv Mendrisio12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home4–3
LLostat Kosova5 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–5
DDrewv Thalwil29 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home0–0
LLostat Baden22 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–3
Show last 10 matchesShowing 10
LLostv Gossau14 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–2
WWonat Taverne8 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away2–1
LLostat Tuggen30 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–4
WWonv Dietikon23 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home2–1
LLostat Mendrisio17 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–1
Head to head
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings
10
Freienbach wins
4
Draws
2
Eschen / Mauren wins
4
Record shown: November 2021 to April 2026.
Average goals 3.4 (Freienbach 1.7, Eschen / Mauren 1.7). Draws 20%, both teams scored 60%, over 2.5 goals 60%.
11 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Freienbach2–0Eschen / Mauren
28 Sept 2025 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Eschen / Mauren0–2Freienbach
15 Mar 2025 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Eschen / Mauren2–1Freienbach
31 Aug 2024 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Freienbach1–3Eschen / Mauren
27 Apr 2024 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Eschen / Mauren1–1Freienbach
Show last 10 meetingsShowing 10
4 Oct 2023 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Freienbach1–6Eschen / Mauren
4 Mar 2023 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Eschen / Mauren0–1Freienbach
21 Aug 2022 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Freienbach3–3Eschen / Mauren
14 May 2022 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Eschen / Mauren2–1Freienbach
6 Nov 2021 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3Freienbach4–0Eschen / Mauren
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Freienbach at home and Eschen / Mauren away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Freienbach
Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 9 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Last 10 (10)3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost · 15 scored, 18 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
Home, last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 9 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (9)3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 16 scored, 18 conceded · 1.22 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Freienbach
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
2
1
2
9
9
0
7
1.40
1
1
Last 10 (10)
10
3
3
4
15
18
-3
12
1.20
2
3
Home, last 5 (5)
5
2
2
1
12
9
+3
8
1.60
1
0
Home, last 10 (9)
9
3
2
4
16
18
-2
11
1.22
2
1
Eschen / Mauren
Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 12 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 3
Last 10 (10)3 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost · 11 scored, 21 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 4
Away, last 5 (5)1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost · 4 scored, 14 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Away, last 10 (10)3 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost · 20 scored, 21 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 4
Eschen / Mauren
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
1
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Freienbach
Eschen / Mauren
League position
11th
14th
Points per game
1.13
1.00
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)
1.50
1.10
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)
1.80
2.10
Clean sheets
2
1
Schedule and rest
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Freienbach: 10 days since their last match (27 Sept 2026).
Eschen / Mauren: 18 days since their last match (19 Sept 2026).
Squad availability
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Freienbach
None reported.
Eschen / Mauren
None reported.
Counter-signals
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Freienbach have had 10 days of rest, Eschen / Mauren 18.
-6
6
12thMendrisio8 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
13thLocarno7 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
14thEschen / Mauren7 points from 7 games · goal difference -7
15thWettswil-Bonstetten6 points from 9 games · goal difference -6
16thWidnau5 points from 9 games · goal difference -13
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Tuggen
9
6
2
1
20
9
+11
20
2
St. Gallen II
9
6
1
2
20
16
+4
19
3
Taverne
9
5
2
2
24
13
+11
17
4
Thalwil
9
4
4
1
16
9
+7
16
5
Baden
9
5
1
3
19
14
+5
16
6
Collina d'Oro
9
4
2
3
8
9
-1
14
7
Kosova
8
3
4
1
14
11
+3
13
8
Dietikon
8
3
2
3
12
13
-1
11
9
Gossau
9
3
2
4
12
17
-5
11
10
Winterthur II
8
3
0
5
10
11
-1
9
11
Freienbach
8
2
3
3
11
14
-3
9
12
Mendrisio
9
1
5
3
11
13
-2
8
13
Locarno
9
1
4
4
11
13
-2
7
14
Eschen / Mauren
7
2
1
4
8
15
-7
7
15
Wettswil-Bonstetten
9
1
3
5
9
15
-6
6
16
Widnau
9
1
2
6
4
17
-13
5
Show last 20 matchesShowing 20
WWonv Baden20 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home3–0
DDrewat Kosova13 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away3–3
LLostv Winterthur II9 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home0–2
LLostat St. Gallen II2 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–3
LLostv Taverne25 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–2
LLostat Tuggen18 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–5
WWonv Eschen / Mauren11 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home2–0
LLostv YF Juventus8 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–5
LLostat Mendrisio4 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–3
WWonat Höngg25 Mar 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away2–0
Show last 20 matchesShowing 20
WWonat YF Juventus9 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away2–1
LLostat FC Vaduz5 May 2026 · Cup · Away3–4
DDrewv Höngg2 May 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–1
DDrewat Widnau26 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–0
DDrewv Collina d'Oro18 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home0–0
WWonat Triesen14 Apr 2026 · Cup · Away11–1
LLostat Freienbach11 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–2
LLostat SV Schaffhausen8 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–2
LLostv Wettswil-Bonstetten1 Apr 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–4
DDrewv Baden21 Mar 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–1
1
3
5
12
-7
4
0.80
1
3
Last 10 (10)
10
3
1
6
11
21
-10
10
1.00
1
4
Away, last 5 (5)
5
1
0
4
4
14
-10
3
0.60
0
2
Away, last 10 (10)
10
3
1
6
20
21
-1
10
1.00
1
4
Picks for Wednesday 7 October
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.