Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the match· China - League Two
Final score Jiangxi Liansheng 0, Dalian Kewei 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Jiangxi Liansheng win 49%, Draw 32%, Dalian Kewei win 19%.
Jiangxi Liansheng host Dalian Kewei in the League Two, China.
Our model gives Jiangxi Liansheng a 49% chance of winning, a draw 32% and Dalian Kewei 19%.
The model expects Jiangxi Liansheng to score 1.2 goals and Dalian Kewei 0.7.
Jiangxi Liansheng have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Dalian Kewei have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the League Two, before kick-off.
Jiangxi Liansheng sit 8th with 38 points; Dalian Kewei sit 6th with 41. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Dalian Kewei.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shenzhen 2028 | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 41 |
| 6 | Dalian Kewei | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 41 |
| 7 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 38 |
| 8 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 9 | Langfang Glory City | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 36 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Jiangxi Liansheng at home and Dalian Kewei away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Jiangxi Liansheng at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dalian Kewei away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Jiangxi Liansheng | Dalian Kewei |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.58 | 1.71 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port II | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 46 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 45 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan II | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 45 |
| 4 | Xi'an Ronghai | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 44 |
| 5 | Shenzhen 2028 | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 41 |
| 6 | Dalian Kewei | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 41 |
| 7 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 38 |
| 8 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 9 | Langfang Glory City | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 33 |
| 11 | Xiamen Feilu | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 32 |
| 12 | Dalian Yingbo B | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 32 |
| 13 | Rizhao Yuqi | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Guangdong Mingtu | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 31 |
| 15 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 30 |
| 16 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 29 |
| 17 | Qingdao Red Lions | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 26 |
| 19 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 26 |
| 20 | Changchun Xidu | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 25 |
| 21 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 24 |
| 22 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 23 |
| 23 | BIT | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -21 | 22 |
| 24 | Shanghai Second | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 17 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| +1 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|